Claim-credibility score. $1.14M of the ask unsupported.
$4,000,000
Asking price · 4.0× $1.0M adj. EBITDA
Add-Backs Reject
Owner draws $60K vs $150K market GM; $74K of "normalization" is real cost. +$18K spouse consulting.
−$92K EBITDA× 4.0 = −$368K price
Revenue Quality Flag
$55K wage-subsidy credit + $15K one-off ERP project + timing pull-forward — non-recurring.
−$70K EBITDA× 4.0 = −$280K price
Margin / Expense Flag
Owner-owned premises at $0 rent (market $48K); deferred R&M understates cost.
−$55K EBITDA× 4.0 = −$220K price
Cash Conversion Flag
$85K of $430K AR >90 days (20%); $20K under-reserved. EBITDA ≠ cash.
−$20K EBITDA× 4.0 = −$80K price
Working Capital Flag
Proposed peg $120K vs TTM-avg $310K; buyer re-funds the gap at close.
−$190K pricedollar-for-dollar
Concentration Reject
Top customer 38%, month-to-month, related party, expires Sep-26.
$285K at risk→ escrow / earnout
Owner Dependence Reject
Owner holds 3 of top-5 relationships + master licence; no GM; 60-day handover.
$2.1M rev. at risk→ earnout + TSA
Cards reveal in sequence during the demo. Green = pass · Amber = flag (negotiate) · Red = reject (structure / condition). EBITDA findings are multiplied by the 4.0× purchase multiple; working-capital is dollar-for-dollar; risk findings carry an at-risk figure. Each amount is traceable (see audit drawer).
Arithmetic (internal recompute, not a headline card): all schedules re-derived; a $4K subtotal overstatement in the seller's add-back schedule was corrected within the bridge. Table-stakes, not a QoE workstream.
Recommended position
Purchase multiple 4.0× — illustrative; adjust to re-run the EBITDA→price bridge (stub)
Export QoE-prep memo (PDF)
Send to data room / IC (stub)
Accept / override flags
Audit drawer (on click): Source = comp benchmark — GM / Ops Manager market $150K vs the owner's $60K draw. The $90K "salary normalization" add-back is mostly an under-accrued operating cost the buyer inherits → disallow $74K; +$18K related-party spouse "consulting" is recurring → disallow. Net: cut add-backs by $92K (= −$368K of price at 4.0×). Concentration & owner key-person → escrow / earnout / TSA, not a price line.
Pipeline trend — this search
$6.4M
of inflated asking price flagged across 11 targets screened this search — the deals you didn't overpay for, or walked from in week one not week three
Bars = $ over-ask flagged per target · amber = above the walk-away threshold.
Mockup only — illustrative figures, no live engine. Final figures come from the seven-check engine per DESIGN-search-fund-qoe-verification.md.